Posts Tagged ‘Orange County home buyers’

Orange County Real Estate Buyers- Has the bottom PAST?

Friday, July 17th, 2009

If your an entry level Orange County home buyer and you have been waiting for the deal of the century to come along and if you have been worried about falling home prices, your wait is over.  At least for now, it appears that we have bottomed out.

Recent Orange county real estate statistics show the following.

1. Inventory is at its lowest levels in 3 years.  Take a look at this report by Lasner on Inventory of OC Homes at a 3 year low! This means there are many more buyers for every home on the market.  Generally I like it when there is 6 months inventory on hand.  It makes for a level playing field between Orange County home buyes and home sellers with a better selection of homes to choose from.  Right now entry level condos are at less than 2 months supply.  And many of them are not even FHA approved.  Which means the homes that are approved by FHA are in super high demand.

2. Median Orange County home prices are on the rise.  This report by the LA Times on Southern California Median Home prices surge in June clearly shows a rise in median home price.  I attribute this to 2 reasons.  1. More expensive homes are starting to sell.  2. The low inventory is causing the price of entry level condos to be bid up and prices are rising as a result.

So what does this mean to you as a home buyer?  It means the deals will not get any better for now.  In fact, you will probably have to pay more.  Yes, there will be more distressed REO and short sale homes for sale coming to the market.  And there will also be more home buyers that want them and will pay more than asking price for them.  Buyers are motivated by the low interest rates and the first time home buyer tax credit.  Home buyers know that these prices will not stay low for ever.  The long and the short of it is that if you hope to buy an Orange County home at the bottom of the market,  you might want to stop waiting and get real on what you can afford.   When prices are on the rise, it pays to pick the best home you can find and tie it up quickly.  Waiting for the holy grail of homes usually results in loss of opportunity and paying more for less.  This might be your best chance to get in to an Orange County home.

Orange County Home Buyers Scared of Market Changes

Thursday, August 3rd, 2006

In the last 4 months Orange County home buyers have noticed that things have changed and this has really caused apathy in the market. I personally get hundreds of inquiries and the vast majority express the desire to buy but reluctance due to uncertainty.

As for my feelings on these changes, I feel they were long over due. And now that they are here, new opportunities are presenting themselves more than ever before. The Orange County Register reported yesterday that Notice of Defaults are up over 86%. Inventory is up more than 5 times last years levels, and buyer volume is less than half off what it was. So what does this all mean

Well, for one, I happen to be a contrarian. So I like to buy when others are not. It typically gives me more bargaining power and a better selection.

The next question, is it really time? And only you can answer this one. I will tell you that having assisted many families over the past 8 year, If you are a move up buyer, it probably doesn’t matter. What??? That is right, when it comes to your primary residence, you are just trading paper equity. In the end, most families make the decision based on getting the location, size and amenities they want, and being able to afford the payment. Affording the payment will have more to do with your personal income stream and the difference between your current interest rate vs your future interest rate. The market has a way of leveling out all other factors.

Its usually first time home buyers that have the most exposure. and for them, time frames play a big factor in the purchase decision. If a first timer plans to stay in the property or keep it for a long period of time, then in the long run, he can expect to sell the property for more than he purchased it for. However, if the time line is short, market fluctuations could lead to short term losses. Buying a home is a costly process, one has to carefully consider if buying makes more sense than renting. A large part of this decision is both life style and tax consequences of not buying. Sometimes if you don’t buy, you guarantee a tax loss. So buyers will often take their chances in the market rather than guarantee a loss.

So if your are thinking of buying in our current market, contact me for a custom consultation prior to making a permanent decision.

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